hope to get people up to date with the weather coming to california and bring everyone up to date with svr weather in the plains .
nov 27 image

t-storm risk
Tuesday, December 29, 2009
THE DEBRIS SHOW
FOR THOSE WHO MISS THE THE DEBRIS SHOW YOU REALLY SHOULD SHOULD WATCH IT STORM CHASER/ TORNADO CHASER SHANE ADAMS SPEAKS HIS MIND THATS THEY KINDA OF PERSON THAT I LIKE .WATCH AT 9:00 PM CST ON CHASERTV OR http://www.passiontwist.com/ YOU WON'T BE SORRY INTERESTING INTERNET SHOWS,
DECEMBER 29 NONE SVR T-STORM FORECAST
...SYNOPSIS...
PROGRESSIVE PATTERN WILL CONTINUE...WITH DEEP TROUGH OVER QUEBEC/NEW
ENG PIVOTING NE TO THE CANADIAN MARITIMES AS COMPLEX UPSTREAM TROUGH
OVER THE WRN U.S./NRN MEXICO CONTINUES E INTO THE PLNS/MS VLY.
ARCTIC OR POLAR AIR WILL CONTINUE TO PREVAIL OVER MOST AREAS AT LWR
LVLS...LIMITING THE POTENTIAL FOR DEEP CONVECTION.
...PAC NW CST...
FAIRLY POTENT UPR IMPULSE NOW NEAR 44N/130W SHOULD CONTINUE ESE TO
THE ORE CST BY EVE...HELPING TO MAINTAIN A LARGER SCALE TROUGH IN
THE WEST. SCTD TSTMS MAY ACCOMPANY THE SYSTEM AS MID LVL CAA AND
STRENGTHENING ONSHORE FLOW DESTABILIZE REGION THROUGH EARLY WED.
SMALL HAIL ALSO MAY OCCUR.
...SRN PLNS...
LIGHT WAA PRECIPITATION WILL OVERSPREAD THE SRN HALF OF THE PLNS AND
OZARKS THIS PERIOD...IN CONJUNCTION WITH LEAD PART OF LARGER SCALE
WRN STATES TROUGH. DEGREE OF ELEVATED INSTABILITY LIKELY WILL
REMAIN INSUFFICIENT FOR THUNDER.
Sunday, December 27, 2009
Saturday, December 26, 2009
Friday, December 25, 2009
DECEMBER 24 STORM REPORTS
1326 16 SE HOMER CLAIBORNE LA 3263 9286 TREES DOWN ON COOKTOWN ROAD IN EXTREME SOUTHEAST CLAIBORNE PARISH. (SHV)
1330 5 N CROWLEY ACADIA LA 3028 9238 *** 4 INJ *** TORNADO TOUCHES DOWN W SIDE HWY 13...ALONG HENSGEN ROAD...DAMAGING TREES AND FENCE. MOVES NORTH...CROSSES HWY 13 JUST SOUTH OF ATWOOD ACRES SUBDIVISION... (LCH)
1330 10 NE VILLE PLATTE ST. LANDRY LA 3079 9215 CATHOLIC CHURCH DESTROYED AT WHITEVILLE. TWO GRAIN SILOS AND TWO 18-WHEELERS DAMAGED. (LCH)
1335 5 N CROWLEY ACADIA LA 3028 9238 ACADIA PARISH SHERRIFS OFFICE REPORTS TORNADO TOUCHDOWN EAST OF HWY 13 5 MILES NORTH OF CROWLEY WITH DAMAGES TO HOUSES...DAMAGE UNKNOWN AT THIS TIME (LCH)
1337 6 S EVERGREEN AVOYELLES LA 3087 9211 THE WHITEVILLE TORNADO CONTINUED INTO AVOYELLES PARISH...MAINLY BLOWN TREES DOWN. PATH LENGTH 3 MI. PATH WIDTH 25 YD. ON GROUND 4 MIN. (LCH)
1340 4 W BRANCH ACADIA LA 3035 9233 TORNADO THAT TOUCHED DOWN IN ATWOOD ACRES LIFTED IN THE AIR...AND TOUCHED DOWN AGAIN ALONG HWY 365/1109 INT. A SMALL OUTBUILDING WAS DESTROYED...AND SEVERAL TREES WERE (LCH)
1341 2 N IOTA ACADIA LA 3036 9249 TORNADO DAMAGED A HOUSE NEAR IOTA A BARN AND NEARBY TRAILERS. REPORT RELAYED THROUGH LMRFC (LCH)
1346 RICHARD ACADIA LA 3042 9231 ATWOOD ACRES TORNADO TOUCHED DOWN A THIRD TIME...ALONG HWY 367/1106 INT...AND MOVED NORTH THROUGH PART OF RICHARD...DAMAGING CHURCH ON HWY 370...AND HOME ACROSS THE STR (LCH)
1348 6 N CROWLEY ACADIA LA 3030 9238 PAIR OF TORNADOES REPORTED HEADING NORTH ON HWY 13 BETWEEN EUNICE AND CROWLEY (LCH)
1352 4 N IOTA ACADIA LA 3038 9249 TORNADO DAMAGED TWO MOBILE HOMES ROOFS AND DESTROYS A BARN...ALSO KNOCKED DOWN TREES. PATH LENGTH 1 MI. MAX WIDTH 25 YDS. ON GROUND FOR LT 2 MIN. (LCH)
1400 GUEYDAN VERMILION LA 3003 9251 PRELIM REPORT FROM NWS SURVEY CONFIRMS TORNADO CAUSED DAMAGE IN GUEYDAN. 2 HOMES COMPLETELY DESTROYED...SEVERAL OTHER HOMES DAMAGED. TORNADO BEGAN 1 MILE SOUTH OF GUEYD (LCH)
1422 8 NW FARMERVILLE UNION LA 3286 9250 5 TO 6 HOMES DAMAGED FROM FALLEN TREES ALONG WITH DAMAGE TO AUTOMOBILES ON THE NORTHWEST SIDE OF LAKE DARBONNE STATE PARK ALONG CORNEY BAYOU. (SHV)
1445 CHURCH POINT ACADIA LA 3040 9221 POSSIBLE TORNADO AT CHURCH POINT WITH A ROOF OFF OF A HOUSE. (LCH)
1541 2 N IOTA ACADIA LA 3036 9249 TORNADO DAMAGED A HOUSE NEAR IOTA. REPORT RELAYED THROUGH LMRFC (LCH)
2150 11 NW VANCLEAVE JACKSON MS 3065 8880 NWS EMPLOYEE DROVE THROUGH AND FOUND A SMALL TORNADO TRACK IN NORTHWEST JACKSON COUNTY. NUMEROUS TREES DOWN ALONG OLD BILOXI ROAD (LIX)
Hail Reports (in CSV format)
No reports received
Wind Reports (in CSV format)
Time Speed Location County State Lat Lon Comments
1300 UNK HACKBERRY CAMERON LA 2997 9343 VACANT HOUSE AND WORKSHOP BLOWN DOWN. (LCH)
1400 UNK GUEYDAN VERMILION LA 3003 9251 EMERGENCY MANAGER REPORTS PERSON TRAPPED IN DAMAGED BUILDING IN GUEYDAN DUE TO POSSIBLE TORNADO. (LCH)
1400 UNK HESSMER AVOYELLES LA 3105 9212 SHERIFFS DEPARTMENT REPORTS NUMEROUS TREES DOWN PARISH WIDE. (LCH)
1430 UNK 3 NE RUSTON LINCOLN LA 3256 9260 TREES DOWN AND ENTANGLED IN POWERLINES ALONG CHANDLER ROAD. (SHV)
1450 UNK SCOTT LAFAYETTE LA 3024 9209 *** 1 FATAL *** TREE ON A HOUSE IN SCOTT. (LCH)
1530 UNK JONESVILLE CATAHOULA LA 3162 9183 CONCORDIA ELECTRIC REPORTS TREE LIMBS DOWNED ONTO POWER LINES ACROSS CATAHOULA COUNTY WITH SPORADIC POWER OUTAGES BEING REPORTED. (JAN)
1654 UNK BATON ROUGE EAST BATON ROUGE LA 3045 9113 NEWS MEDIA REPORTS TREES WERE BLOWN DOWN NEAR ONEIL LANE AND SOUTH HARELS FERRY ROAD IN BATON ROUGE. (LIX)
1841 UNK 2 SE RUTH LINCOLN MS 3136 9029 2 TREES DOWN ON HWY 583 SOUTHEAST OF RUTH. (JAN)
2110 UNK 2 NE BILOXI HARRISON MS 3044 8891 SCATTERED MINOR SHINGLE DAMAGE AROUND SUNKIST COUNTRY CLUB. FUNNEL CLOUD SPOTTED (LIX)
2130 UNK 6 N MAHNED PERRY MS 3129 8909 TREE BLOWN DOWN BLOCKING HIGHWAY 29 NORTH AT PROSPECT ROAD. (MOB)
2240 UNK N SNOW AND TANNER WILLI MOBILE AL 3071 8828 2 TREES AND POWERLINES BLOWN DOWN. (MOB)
2314 58 3 N DOWNTOWN MOBILE MOBILE AL 3073 8804 58 MPH WIND RECORDED AT ROAD LEVEL ON COCHRANE BRIDGE. (MOB)
2338 UNK GULF SHORES BALDWIN AL 3025 8770 BALDWIN COUNTY 911 REPORTED ROOF DAMAGE AND WINDOWS BROKEN ON A HOUSE ON COTTON BAY DRIVE WEST NEAR JACK EDWARDS AIRPORT. (MOB)
2345 UNK 7 WSW TUSCUMBIA COLBERT AL 3469 8781 HIGH WINDS BLEW A PORTION OF A ROOF OFF OF A HOUSE. (HUN)
0020 UNK 1 ESE BEULAH ESCAMBIA FL 3053 8738 FIRE DEPARTMENT REPORTED A LARGE TREE LIMB FELL ON A HOUSE ON BEULAH ROAD WHICH CAUSED DAMAGED TO A DECK AND PULLED POWER LINES DOWN. LARGE LIMBS ARE ALSO REPORTED IN T (MOB)
0142 UNK 4 W FORT WALTON BEACH OKALOOSA FL 3042 8665 TREE BLOWN DOWN AT MARY ESTHER CUROFF AND JONQUIL AVENUE IN FORT WALTON. (MOB)
Wednesday, December 23, 2009
dec 23 msd 2276
CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 805...
VALID 240150Z - 240315Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 805 CONTINUES.
ISOLATED SEVERE/TORNADO THREAT WILL CONTINUE...WITH NEW WW LIKELY
GIVEN THE SCHEDULED 24/03Z EXPIRATION OF WW 0805.
LATEST SURFACE ANALYSIS COMBINED WITH RADAR REFLECTIVITY SHOWS THE
COLD FRONT EXTENDING FROM FAR ERN OK SWWD INTO THE DFW METROPLEX AND
WWD TO S OF ABI. THIS PORTION OF THE FRONT CONTINUES MOVING
SEWD...WHILE THE MORE N-S SEGMENT OF THE FRONT CONTINUES MOVING OUT
OF W TX TOWARD THE HILL COUNTRY/EDWARDS PLATEAU REGION.
AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT...E TX AND THE ARKLATEX REMAIN
MOIST/MODESTLY UNSTABLE...WITH WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
NOW SPREADING NEWD TOWARD ERN OK/AR AND MORE ISOLATED CONVECTION
INCREASING IN COVERAGE ACROSS SERN TX. MEANWHILE...CONVECTION ALONG
THE N-S PORTION OF THE FRONT CONTINUES TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY...AS THE
FRONT IMPINGES ON INCREASINGLY MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER ACROSS CENTRAL
TX.
WITH FAVORABLY STRONG/VEERING WINDS WITH HEIGHT...KINEMATIC
ENVIRONMENT REMAINS CONDUCIVE FOR SEVERE STORMS. INCREASING ASCENT
INVOF THE ADVANCING SURFACE COLD FRONT/AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING
UPPER TROUGH SHOULD YIELD AN INCREASE IN STORMS ACROSS CENTRAL TX
OVER THE NEXT 1-2 HOURS...ALONG WITH A CONTINUATION OF THE E
TX/ARKLATEX STORMS. WHILE MODEST INSTABILITY WILL REMAIN A LIMITING
FACTOR...SHEAR SHOULD AID IN LOCAL STORM INTENSIFICATION/
LONGEVITY...AND THUS EXPECT SEVERE/ISOLATED TORNADO POTENTIAL TO
CONTINUE OVERNIGHT. STORM MODE SHOULD EVENTUALLY BECOME
INCREASINGLY LINEAR ALONG THE COLD FRONT OVERNIGHT...WITH
CORRESPONDING POTENTIAL FOR WIND DAMAGE
Tuesday, December 22, 2009
dec 22 windy advent
well after the cold front came thru dumped a little rain in sqv woke up this morning with a chillin wind kept me offline for awhile .wondering as i'm thinking about the slight risk area of the potental to get svr if the spc is gonna fuck this on up.on me and donny svr board he made a outline of the greatest possibities as i'm looking at my radar quit a bit activity nothing big that come perhaps by dawn in some areas.i'm not a weather expert what i been gathering today / this evening a few tornado will probary pop up in ne texas into la and oklahoma .i hope if there are tornado warning or svr warning people will take them serisoly .as i mentioned few days ago seemed like if people live in the gd moble homes they should be smart enough to get the hell out not sure what the 23rd will bring but hope people in the risk area take this advent to heart .keep ur noaa radios on all day i do suspect there is a strong change for a few tornado watchs or svr t-storm watch with warning shall see what happens.
Monday, December 21, 2009
dec 21 none t-storm outlook
...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
...SYNOPSIS...
THE MAJORITY OF THE CONUS WILL BE COOL/STABLE IN THE WAKE OF THE
WEEKEND BLIZZARD ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST. AN INITIAL SHORTWAVE
TROUGH MOVING INLAND OVER ORE WILL PHASE WITH A SEPARATE CLOSED LOW
DIGGING SEWD FROM VANCOUVER ISLAND. STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES
WILL ACCOMPANY THE AMPLIFYING TROUGH...BUT INSTABILITY AND
THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL WILL REMAIN NEGLIGIBLE THROUGH THE PERIOD.
OTHERWISE... RETURN FLOW OF A MODIFYING CONTINENTAL POLAR AIR MASS
WILL COMMENCE ACROSS S TX BY TONIGHT IN CONJUNCTION WITH SRN HIGH
PLAINS LEE CYCLOGENESIS. HOWEVER...LACK OF APPRECIABLE FORCING FOR
ASCENT AND RELATIVELY WARM MID LEVEL TEMPERATURES WILL PRECLUDE THE
DEVELOPMENT OF DEEP CONVECTION.
...SYNOPSIS...
THE MAJORITY OF THE CONUS WILL BE COOL/STABLE IN THE WAKE OF THE
WEEKEND BLIZZARD ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST. AN INITIAL SHORTWAVE
TROUGH MOVING INLAND OVER ORE WILL PHASE WITH A SEPARATE CLOSED LOW
DIGGING SEWD FROM VANCOUVER ISLAND. STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES
WILL ACCOMPANY THE AMPLIFYING TROUGH...BUT INSTABILITY AND
THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL WILL REMAIN NEGLIGIBLE THROUGH THE PERIOD.
OTHERWISE... RETURN FLOW OF A MODIFYING CONTINENTAL POLAR AIR MASS
WILL COMMENCE ACROSS S TX BY TONIGHT IN CONJUNCTION WITH SRN HIGH
PLAINS LEE CYCLOGENESIS. HOWEVER...LACK OF APPRECIABLE FORCING FOR
ASCENT AND RELATIVELY WARM MID LEVEL TEMPERATURES WILL PRECLUDE THE
DEVELOPMENT OF DEEP CONVECTION.
Sunday, December 20, 2009
Saturday, December 19, 2009
heavy snow dec 19
CONCERNING...HEAVY SNOW
VALID 191157Z - 191800Z
BANDS OF HEAVY SNOW WITH RATES OF 1-2 IN/HR WILL PERSIST MAINLY FROM
ERN WV ACROSS NRN VA AND MD...DE...SERN PA AND SRN NJ. THE LONGEST
DURATION OF HEAVY SNOW RATES IS LIKELY TO BE OVER ERN WV...NRN
VA...AND MUCH OF MD.
A LARGE SHIELD OF SNOW CURRENTLY EXTENDS FROM NEAR THE UPPER LOW
CENTER OVER WV EWD N OF A DEEPENING SURFACE LOW. WARM ADVECTION
COUPLED WITH DEEP LAYER FRONTOGENESIS IS RESULTING IN PERSISTENT AND
MULTIPLE W-E BANDS OF HEAVY SNOW. DUE TO THE SLOW MOVEMENT OF THE
TROUGH...LONG DURATIONS OF HEAVY SNOW WILL OCCUR. THROUGH
18Z...EXPECT A SLIGHT PIVOT OF THE SNOW BANDS TO A WSW-ENE
ORIENTATION AS THE LOW LEVEL WINDS BACK A BIT. BROAD...PERSISTENT
FRONTOGENESIS SHOULD RESULT IN FURTHER CONSOLIDATION OF THE SNOW
BANDS OVER THE MCD AREA.
AS THE UPPER LOW PIVOTS EWD...COOLING ALOFT MAINLY ABOVE 650 MB WILL
RESULT IN A DEEPER DENDRITIC GROWTH LAYER YIELDING A MORE
TEMPERATURE PROFILE FOR PARTICULARLY HEAVY SNOW FROM 12-18Z ACROSS
ERN WV...NRN VA...AND CNTRL MD. SNOW RATES COULD INCREASE TO MORE
THAN 2 IN/HR AT TIMES.
VALID 191157Z - 191800Z
BANDS OF HEAVY SNOW WITH RATES OF 1-2 IN/HR WILL PERSIST MAINLY FROM
ERN WV ACROSS NRN VA AND MD...DE...SERN PA AND SRN NJ. THE LONGEST
DURATION OF HEAVY SNOW RATES IS LIKELY TO BE OVER ERN WV...NRN
VA...AND MUCH OF MD.
A LARGE SHIELD OF SNOW CURRENTLY EXTENDS FROM NEAR THE UPPER LOW
CENTER OVER WV EWD N OF A DEEPENING SURFACE LOW. WARM ADVECTION
COUPLED WITH DEEP LAYER FRONTOGENESIS IS RESULTING IN PERSISTENT AND
MULTIPLE W-E BANDS OF HEAVY SNOW. DUE TO THE SLOW MOVEMENT OF THE
TROUGH...LONG DURATIONS OF HEAVY SNOW WILL OCCUR. THROUGH
18Z...EXPECT A SLIGHT PIVOT OF THE SNOW BANDS TO A WSW-ENE
ORIENTATION AS THE LOW LEVEL WINDS BACK A BIT. BROAD...PERSISTENT
FRONTOGENESIS SHOULD RESULT IN FURTHER CONSOLIDATION OF THE SNOW
BANDS OVER THE MCD AREA.
AS THE UPPER LOW PIVOTS EWD...COOLING ALOFT MAINLY ABOVE 650 MB WILL
RESULT IN A DEEPER DENDRITIC GROWTH LAYER YIELDING A MORE
TEMPERATURE PROFILE FOR PARTICULARLY HEAVY SNOW FROM 12-18Z ACROSS
ERN WV...NRN VA...AND CNTRL MD. SNOW RATES COULD INCREASE TO MORE
THAN 2 IN/HR AT TIMES.
none thunderstorm outlook dec 18
...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
...SYNOPSIS...
THE DEEPENING CYCLONE NEAR THE NC OUTER BANKS WILL CONTINUE NEWD TO
JUST OFF THE SE NEW ENGLAND COAST OVERNIGHT...WHILE A CONTINENTAL
POLAR AIR MASS DOMINATES THE CONUS E OF THE ROCKIES IN ITS WAKE.
FARTHER W...A RIDGE WILL PERSIST OVER THE INTERMOUNTAIN W...AND A
SHORTWAVE TROUGH NOW NEAR 135 W WILL APPROACH THE WA/ORE COASTS
SUNDAY MORNING.
SOME WEAK MID LEVEL CONVECTION IS EXPECTED WITH THE MID ATLANTIC
SYSTEM WHERE MARGINAL BUOYANCY EXISTS ABOVE 700 MB WITHIN THE MID
LEVEL DRY SLOT...THOUGH THE THREAT FOR LIGHTNING APPEARS TOO
MARGINAL TO WARRANT INTRODUCTION OF AN OUTLOOK AREA. OCEANIC
LIGHTNING DATA HAVE SHOWN ISOLATED STRIKES WITH THE BAROCLINIC BAND
OVER THE ERN PAC...BUT THE VERY LATE ARRIVAL OF THIS SYSTEM AND
MINIMAL INSTABILITY SUGGEST LITTLE THREAT FOR THUNDERSTORMS INLAND.
[
Friday, December 18, 2009
...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TODAY INTO EARLY TONIGHT FOR
THE FL PENINSULA...
...FL AREA THROUGH EARLY TONIGHT...
A SURFACE CYCLONE S OF MOB THIS MORNING WILL DEVELOP ENEWD ALONG A
BAROCLINIC ZONE ACROSS N FL THROUGH THIS EVENING...AS A SRN STREAM
SHORTWAVE TROUGH OVER THE LOWER MS VALLEY/ADJACENT N CENTRAL GULF OF
MEXICO EJECTS ENEWD IN ADVANCE OF AN AMPLIFYING NRN STREAM TROUGH
THAT WILL REACH THE MID MS VALLEY. GRADUAL PHASING WILL OCCUR LATER
TODAY THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY...WHICH WILL SUPPORT STRONG
CYCLOGENESIS JUST OFF THE COAST OF THE CAROLINAS OVERNIGHT.
MEANWHILE...THE SURFACE WARM SECTOR WILL OVERSPREAD CENTRAL/S FL AS
A RESIDUAL/WEAK FRONT ALONG THE SE FL COAST LIFTS NWD IN ADVANCE OF
THE SURFACE LOW. A TRAILING COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE ERN GULF AND
REACH THE FL W COAST THIS EVENING...AND CONTINUE EWD ACROSS ALL OF
FL FRIDAY NIGHT.
A LOOSE BAND OF MAINLY LOW-TOPPED CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED THROUGH
THE EARLY MORNING HOURS ALONG THE WEAK BAROCLINIC ZONE FROM CAPE
CANAVERAL SWD TO PALM BEACH. RELATIVELY SHALLOW BUOYANCY AND
SOMEWHAT COOLER/MORE STABLE CONDITIONS OVER LAND HAVE LIMITED THE
SUPERCELL/TORNADO THREAT THUS FAR...THOUGH LOW-LEVEL SHEAR HAS BEEN
SUFFICIENT FOR ROTATING STORMS JUST OFFSHORE. THIS AREA OF
CONVECTION SHOULD REMAIN LARGELY OFFSHORE. HOWEVER...ANOTHER BELT
OF DEVELOPING THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD NEWD FROM THE
KEYS/SE GULF ACROSS S FL THROUGH THE MORNING. A GRADUAL INCREASE IN
LOW-LEVEL AND DEEP-LAYER VERTICAL SHEAR...AND SOME LOW-LEVEL
WARMING/MOISTENING...SHOULD SUPPORT AN INCREASING THREAT FOR
SUPERCELLS AND A COUPLE OF TORNADOES ACROSS S FL THROUGH THE
MORNING/MIDDAY. THIS THREAT SHOULD ALSO SPREAD NWD TOWARD CENTRAL
AND N FL WITH THE RETREAT OF THE WEAK FRONT NOW NEAR THE
COAST...THOUGH MORE WIDESPREAD CLOUDS/RAIN MAKE DESTABILIZATION LESS
CERTAIN TOWARD N FL.
ANOTHER ROUND OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE LATER THIS AFTERNOON
INTO EARLY TONIGHT AS THE COLD FRONT MOVES ACROSS FL FROM THE ERN
GULF OF MEXICO. LOW-LEVEL FLOW IS EXPECTED TO VEER TO SWLY IN
PROXIMITY TO THE FRONT...LEAVING MORE UNIDIRECTIONAL WIND PROFILES
AND DAMAGING GUSTS AS THE PRIMARY SEVERE THREAT BY THIS
EVENING/EARLY TONIGHT.
Thursday, December 17, 2009
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
...SYNOPSIS...
A TREND TOWARD INCREASED AMPLIFICATION WILL BEGIN THIS PERIOD AS
DISTURBANCE NOW OVER THE NRN RCKYS CONTINUES SE INTO THE CNTRL
PLNS...AND SHORT WAVE RIDGE BUILDS OVER THE FAR WEST. IN
RESPONSE...S TX DISTURBANCE SHOULD ACCELERATE ENE TO THE CNTRL GULF
CST BY 12Z FRI AS IT BECOMES FURTHER ABSORBED WITHIN STRENGTHENING
WSW FLOW AHEAD OF PLNS TROUGH.
AT LWR LVLS...WEAK SFC CYCLONE NOW OVER THE NW GULF SHOULD TRACK ENE
TO THE AREA S OF MOBILE BAY EARLY FRI...SLIGHTLY DEEPENING IN THE
PROCESS. ALTHOUGH THE ASSOCIATED SYNOPTIC WARM FRONT EXTENDING E
INTO FL SHOULD BECOME BETTER DEFINED WITH TIME...SFC PATTERN WILL BE
COMPLICATED BY WAA RAIN/STORMS...AND BY SHALLOW WARM FRONTAL
SEGMENTS LIKELY TO DEVELOP ALONG LAND/SEA INTERFACES BORDERING THE
FL PENINSULA.
...PARTS OF SRN FL...
SUBSTANTIAL MOISTURE ALREADY IN PLACE OVER ERN GULF OF MEXICO AND S
FL WILL INCREASE LATER TODAY THROUGH EARLY FRI AS LWR TROPOSPHERIC
FLOW STRENGTHENS AND VEERS AHEAD OF GULF SFC WAVE.
INCREASING MOISTURE AND WAA LIKELY WILL SUPPORT CONTINUED
DEVELOPMENT AND NEWD SPREAD OF CONVECTION/STORMS NOW OVER THE CNTRL
GULF. THIS ACTIVITY WILL APPROACH THE FL W CST TOWARD THE END OF
THE PERIOD. SFC-BASED INSTABILITY LIKELY WILL BE WEAK GIVEN TIME OF
DAY AND WEAK MID LVL LAPSE RATES. BUT GIVEN COMBINATION OF
INCREASINGLY RICH BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE AND APPRECIABLE SHEAR
/BOTH LOW LVL DIRECTIONAL AND 0-6 KM BULK SHEAR/...POTENTIAL WILL
EXIST FOR EMBEDDED ROTATING STORMS WITH A THREAT FOR A SMALL BOW OR
TWO AND/OR A TORNADO.
IN THE MEAN TIME...CSTL BOUNDARY/TROUGH MARKING LAND-SEA INTERFACE
ALONG THE SE FL CST SSW INTO THE EVERGLADES LIKELY WILL REMAIN A
FOCUS FOR SHOWER/STORM DEVELOPMENT THROUGH THE PERIOD. AN ISOLD
WATERSPOUT OR TORNADO CANNOT BE RULED OUT ALONG THIS FEATURE
TODAY...ALTHOUGH MODEST SHEAR AND INSTABILITY SHOULD LIMIT
DURATION/SCOPE/INTENSITY OF ANY SUCH DEVELOPMENT. A GRADUALLY
INCREASING SVR THREAT MAY...HOWEVER...EVOLVE ALONG THIS FEATURE...OR
OTHER SIMILAR LOW LVL BOUNDARIES...OVER SRN/E CNTRL FL TONIGHT AND
EARLY FRI AS WINDS...MOISTURE AVAILABILITY...AND FORCING FOR ASCENT
INCREASE AHEAD OF GULF WAVE.
tornado warning and svr warnings
ok another topic of interest to me .i'm not blasting anyone but why is it when the nws issues the warning people won't leave there moble homes ,it just don't make any sence why people won't there moble home a small ef-0 can tip of a piece of junk like that.i understand people leave in whatbthey can efford ok no problem with that my problem is when i read spc storm reports i see moble home destroyed deaths because people won't leave them it tears my guts out .again i live in cali now and again we get a cold front that come thru here with hi winds 45-60 mph there is a moble home park i see them shake but no destroyed i can only imagine the fear people have when a tornado is beaning down on them so why people don't u leave ur " death traps" to find suitable shelters i know sometimes theres just not enough time to leave and find shelter but just leaving then improves ur changes of living thru one.
vortex 2
now this a good topic.first of all that was the biggest of the goverment money if these jackass's want to study and film tornadoes use there own money don't waste thew goverment money.secondly why in hell do u think u have priory of the storm chasers who use the own hard earned money for gas and what nots if i was in colorado getting really for the best tornado of the year i sure in hell won't let u have the spot i was on first wtf do u think u are.people have been studing tornado for years to see what makes then " tick" there r somethings that people will never know these r one of them.what really needs to happen is find a better warning system 10-13 mins just isn't enough time to put out a tornado warningtime people get to shelters or what not almost to late i hope someday science data can give perhaps 20 mins in advance i know its a long shot because some warning r just that warning from radar indicated or perhaps on the ground either way ,there does need a better warning system .enough said,,
Wednesday, December 16, 2009
Tuesday, December 15, 2009
dec 15
looks for a chance might have a quit day here in sqv .there was a fog advisory in southern california with visablities limited to less than 1000 ft .right now getting my coffee down trying to get my shit together tuesdays much easier than mondays ever hope to be .by weds or thursday more much needed rain altho we r above normal this year so far we got a ways to go to make up for the last few years .last year we were close to 2 inchs behind year before that around maybe more behind.my guess is we need at least 15-20 inchs of rain to make up for the last few years.my feeling on this is u really can't make up for lost water.but u can do stuff to prevent waste such as why water ur yards when it raining,don't use car washes,limit how long u shower ,simple things like this can save water surply during droughts,
Monday, December 14, 2009
dec 14
well today i went out looking to see if there was any flooding .answer is yes there was some small flooding around starbucks like a small pond no other areas besides a few school flooding on play ground that about it.this morning was foggy as hell or peanut butter depends on ur point of view lol''
Sunday, December 13, 2009
lots of rain
sure is nice we're getting some much need rain here in sqv hopefully more on the way.been rather dry here the last few years wasn't bad butlast year we had close to 10 1/2 inchs of rain bad thing was all came at once we had system after system come between dec and january which totaled up up 101/2 inchs that was basically all the rain we got the clouds new structure shots lighting that was it hopefully rain will comes thru the whole rainy season just just a few months.
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