CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 805...
VALID 240150Z - 240315Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 805 CONTINUES.
ISOLATED SEVERE/TORNADO THREAT WILL CONTINUE...WITH NEW WW LIKELY
GIVEN THE SCHEDULED 24/03Z EXPIRATION OF WW 0805.
LATEST SURFACE ANALYSIS COMBINED WITH RADAR REFLECTIVITY SHOWS THE
COLD FRONT EXTENDING FROM FAR ERN OK SWWD INTO THE DFW METROPLEX AND
WWD TO S OF ABI. THIS PORTION OF THE FRONT CONTINUES MOVING
SEWD...WHILE THE MORE N-S SEGMENT OF THE FRONT CONTINUES MOVING OUT
OF W TX TOWARD THE HILL COUNTRY/EDWARDS PLATEAU REGION.
AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT...E TX AND THE ARKLATEX REMAIN
MOIST/MODESTLY UNSTABLE...WITH WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
NOW SPREADING NEWD TOWARD ERN OK/AR AND MORE ISOLATED CONVECTION
INCREASING IN COVERAGE ACROSS SERN TX. MEANWHILE...CONVECTION ALONG
THE N-S PORTION OF THE FRONT CONTINUES TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY...AS THE
FRONT IMPINGES ON INCREASINGLY MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER ACROSS CENTRAL
TX.
WITH FAVORABLY STRONG/VEERING WINDS WITH HEIGHT...KINEMATIC
ENVIRONMENT REMAINS CONDUCIVE FOR SEVERE STORMS. INCREASING ASCENT
INVOF THE ADVANCING SURFACE COLD FRONT/AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING
UPPER TROUGH SHOULD YIELD AN INCREASE IN STORMS ACROSS CENTRAL TX
OVER THE NEXT 1-2 HOURS...ALONG WITH A CONTINUATION OF THE E
TX/ARKLATEX STORMS. WHILE MODEST INSTABILITY WILL REMAIN A LIMITING
FACTOR...SHEAR SHOULD AID IN LOCAL STORM INTENSIFICATION/
LONGEVITY...AND THUS EXPECT SEVERE/ISOLATED TORNADO POTENTIAL TO
CONTINUE OVERNIGHT. STORM MODE SHOULD EVENTUALLY BECOME
INCREASINGLY LINEAR ALONG THE COLD FRONT OVERNIGHT...WITH
CORRESPONDING POTENTIAL FOR WIND DAMAGE
No comments:
Post a Comment