nov 27 image

nov 27 image
t-storm risk

Saturday, December 19, 2009

none thunderstorm outlook dec 18


...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...




...SYNOPSIS...

THE DEEPENING CYCLONE NEAR THE NC OUTER BANKS WILL CONTINUE NEWD TO

JUST OFF THE SE NEW ENGLAND COAST OVERNIGHT...WHILE A CONTINENTAL

POLAR AIR MASS DOMINATES THE CONUS E OF THE ROCKIES IN ITS WAKE.

FARTHER W...A RIDGE WILL PERSIST OVER THE INTERMOUNTAIN W...AND A

SHORTWAVE TROUGH NOW NEAR 135 W WILL APPROACH THE WA/ORE COASTS

SUNDAY MORNING.



SOME WEAK MID LEVEL CONVECTION IS EXPECTED WITH THE MID ATLANTIC

SYSTEM WHERE MARGINAL BUOYANCY EXISTS ABOVE 700 MB WITHIN THE MID

LEVEL DRY SLOT...THOUGH THE THREAT FOR LIGHTNING APPEARS TOO

MARGINAL TO WARRANT INTRODUCTION OF AN OUTLOOK AREA. OCEANIC

LIGHTNING DATA HAVE SHOWN ISOLATED STRIKES WITH THE BAROCLINIC BAND

OVER THE ERN PAC...BUT THE VERY LATE ARRIVAL OF THIS SYSTEM AND

MINIMAL INSTABILITY SUGGEST LITTLE THREAT FOR THUNDERSTORMS INLAND.

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